Friday 5: The Model's 5 Best NBA Props Tonight
Every Friday: the five best player props on the model’s board.
The five player props the model rates highest on tonight’s board: projection clear of FanDuel’s line, ranked on hit chance × price.
1. Meleek Thomas 3+ made threes (+164)
Projected 3.2 against FanDuel’s line of 2.5 · model hit chance 46.1%.
2. Jalen Suggs 10+ points (-115)
Projected 13.4 against FanDuel’s line of 9.5 · model hit chance 56.2%.
3. Jabari Smith Jr. 15+ points (-104)
Projected 18.2 against FanDuel’s line of 14.5 · model hit chance 52.1%.
4. De'Andre Hunter 13+ points (-130)
Projected 15.4 against FanDuel’s line of 12.5 · model hit chance 57.1%.
5. Tristan da Silva 3+ made threes (+100)
Projected 3.0 against FanDuel’s line of 2.5 · model hit chance 50.5%.
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These are model picks, not sure things, and a parlay needs every leg. Keep each bet to a small, fixed share of your bankroll (see unit sizing).
More free tools: NBA Defense vs Position · NFL Defense vs Position
This page is one pick. Premium is the whole night.
- 212 player props with the model's projection and hit chance
- The first basket pick for all 9 games, with the tip-off and method numbers
- Projected winners, spreads and totals for all 9 games
- Ask MC: build a parlay off the models, with the model's chance on every leg
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