Heat vs Jazz Prediction, Picks & Odds
The Miami Heat visit the Utah Jazz on Tue, Nov 10, 2026. Tip-off is 9:00 PM ET. Here is what the MC Sports model makes of it: one moneyline pick, one spread pick, one player prop and a first basket pick, each with the model's own number and FanDuel's price.
Moneyline: Heat (76%)
Spread: Heat -9.5
Player prop: Davion Mitchell 13+ points (-122)
First basket: Bam Adebayo (+500)
⭐ Best bet: Davion Mitchell 13+ points (-122)
Moneyline pick: Miami Heat
The model makes the Heat a 76% winner against the Jazz. In back-testing, games where the model gave the winner 75%+ won 85.1% of the time.
Out tonight: Jazz: Keyonte George, Jaren Jackson Jr., Lauri Markkanen, Jusuf Nurkic.
Spread pick: Heat -9.5
FanDuel's spread is Heat -9.5. The model projects the Heat to win by -9.8 points.
Total: FanDuel's number is 227.5. The model projects 234.4 combined points and leans over (50.9%).
Player prop pick: Davion Mitchell 13+ points
The model projects Davion Mitchell for 16.1 points on 37 expected minutes, clear of FanDuel's line of 12.5.
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First basket pick: Bam Adebayo (+500)
Why: took 31 of his team's first shots in his last 84 starts; 18 first baskets; 22% of the starters' shots; takes the tip. FanDuel settles first basket on the first points of the game, free throws included.
These are model picks, not sure things. A 60% pick loses four times in ten. Keep each bet to a small, fixed share of your bankroll (see unit sizing).
This page is one pick. Premium is the whole night.
- 194 player props with the model's projection and hit chance
- The first basket pick for all 6 games, with the tip-off and method numbers
- Projected winners, spreads and totals for all 6 games
- Ask MC: build a parlay off the models, with the model's chance on every leg
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