Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds
The Dallas Mavericks visit the San Antonio Spurs on Wed, Nov 4, 2026. Tip-off is 9:30 PM ET. Here is what the MC Sports model makes of it: one moneyline pick, one spread pick, one player prop and a first basket pick, each with the model's own number and FanDuel's price.
Moneyline: Spurs (75%)
Spread: Mavericks +11.5
Player prop: Dylan Harper 17+ points (-130)
First basket: Victor Wembanyama (+250)
⭐ Best bet: Dylan Harper 17+ points (-130)
Moneyline pick: San Antonio Spurs
The model makes the Spurs a 75% winner against the Mavericks. In back-testing, games where the model gave the winner 75%+ won 85.1% of the time.
Out tonight: Mavericks: Santi Aldama, Tarik Biberovic, Max Christie, Sergio de Larrea, Dereck Lively II; Spurs: Tobias Harris, Jayden Quaintance.
Spread pick: Mavericks +11.5
FanDuel's spread is Mavericks +11.5. The model projects the Spurs to win by 9.5 points.
Total: FanDuel's number is 227.5. The model projects 227.8 combined points and leans over (50.0%).
Player prop pick: Dylan Harper 17+ points
The model projects Dylan Harper for 18.3 points on 32 expected minutes, clear of FanDuel's line of 16.5.
- Assists over██████████🔒
First basket pick: Victor Wembanyama (+250)
Why: took 21 of his team's first shots in his last 67 starts; 17 first baskets; 25% of the starters' shots; takes the tip. FanDuel settles first basket on the first points of the game, free throws included.
These are model picks, not sure things. A 60% pick loses four times in ten. Keep each bet to a small, fixed share of your bankroll (see unit sizing).
This page is one pick. Premium is the whole night.
- 218 player props with the model's projection and hit chance
- The first basket pick for all 14 games, with the tip-off and method numbers
- Projected winners, spreads and totals for all 14 games
- Ask MC: build a parlay off the models, with the model's chance on every leg
60% off your first month. Every board, every sport, every night.