Moneyline Monday: NBA Picks and Predictions for Nov 9, 2026
Moneyline Monday for Monday, November 9, 2026: the Pistons, Spurs, Cavaliers, Warriors and Rockets make up the MC Sports model's five-team NBA moneyline parlay tonight, +263 on FanDuel: its most likely winners, with no leg shorter than -500.
Pistons, Spurs, Cavaliers, Warriors and Rockets to win, +263 together. The model gives all five 20% to hit.
| Leg | Model | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Pistons ML vs Washington Wizards · 7:00 PM ET | 75% | -480 |
| San Antonio Spurs ML vs Phoenix Suns · 9:00 PM ET | 71% | -375 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers ML vs Charlotte Hornets · 7:00 PM ET | 77% | -340 |
| Golden State Warriors ML vs New Orleans Pelicans · 10:00 PM ET | 74% | -590 |
| Houston Rockets ML vs Denver Nuggets · 8:30 PM ET | 65% | -176 |
Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons Prediction: Pistons Moneyline (-480)
7:00 PM ET · Little Caesars Arena · NBCSN
The Pistons (6-3) host the Wizards (4-6), and they are 2-2 at home this season. The MC Sports model gives the Pistons a 75.2% chance to win and projects a 9.5-point margin. FanDuel has the Pistons moneyline at -480.
Model key points
- Names to know: Cade Cunningham leads the Pistons at 22.9 points a game; Anthony Davis leads the Wizards at 23.4.
- Wizards injury report: out Reece Beekman, Justin Champagnie, Tristan Vukcevic and Jamir Watkins.
- Pistons injury report: out Jalen Duren and Isaiah Joe.
- Rest: the Pistons are on the second night of a back-to-back.
- Model track record: picks at 75%+ went 274-48 (85.1%) in the walk-forward back-test.
San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns Prediction: Spurs Moneyline (-375)
9:00 PM ET · Mortgage Matchup Center · Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, DAZN SAS
The Spurs (8-2) visit the Suns (3-5), and they are 4-0 on the road this season. The MC Sports model gives the Spurs a 70.7% chance to win and projects a 7.6-point margin. FanDuel has the Spurs moneyline at -375.
Model key points
- Names to know: Victor Wembanyama leads the Spurs at 29.1 points a game; Devin Booker leads the Suns at 25.2.
- Suns injury report: out Jordan Goodwin and Mark Williams.
- Spurs injury report: out Tobias Harris, Jayden Quaintance and Devin Vassell.
- Model track record: picks at 70%+ went 395-83 (82.6%) in the walk-forward back-test.
Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets Prediction: Cavaliers Moneyline (-340)
7:00 PM ET · Spectrum Center · DAZN CLE
The Cavaliers (5-5) visit the Hornets (3-7), and they are 1-3 on the road this season. The MC Sports model gives the Cavaliers a 77.1% chance to win and projects a 10.3-point margin. FanDuel has the Cavaliers moneyline at -340.
Model key points
- Names to know: Donovan Mitchell leads the Cavaliers at 24.0 points a game; Naz Reid leads the Hornets at 16.6.
- Hornets injury report: out Moussa Diabate, Kon Knueppel, Brandon Miller, Dennis Schroder and Grant Williams.
- Cavaliers injury report: out Sam Merrill and Jaylon Tyson.
- Model track record: picks at 75%+ went 274-48 (85.1%) in the walk-forward back-test.
New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors Prediction: Warriors Moneyline (-590)
10:00 PM ET · Chase Center · NBA TV, GCSEN, Pelicans.com
The Warriors (7-3) host the Pelicans (4-6), and they are 5-1 at home this season. The MC Sports model gives the Warriors a 74.1% chance to win and projects a 9.0-point margin. FanDuel has the Warriors moneyline at -590.
Model key points
- Names to know: Stephen Curry leads the Warriors at 31.2 points a game; Saddiq Bey leads the Pelicans at 16.1.
- Pelicans injury report: out Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Trendon Watford and Zion Williamson.
- Warriors injury report: out Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis and Will Richard.
- Rest: the Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back.
- Model track record: picks at 70%+ went 395-83 (82.6%) in the walk-forward back-test.
Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets Prediction: Rockets Moneyline (-176)
8:30 PM ET · Toyota Center (Houston) · ALT2/KTVD, KUSA-TV (9NEWS)
The Rockets (7-3) host the Nuggets (5-3), and they are 4-1 at home this season. The MC Sports model gives the Rockets a 65.3% chance to win and projects a 5.5-point margin. FanDuel has the Rockets moneyline at -176.
Model key points
- Names to know: Alperen Sengun leads the Rockets at 21.5 points a game; Jamal Murray leads the Nuggets at 24.2.
- Nuggets injury report: out Julian Strawther.
- Rockets injury report: out Steven Adams, Clint Capela and Oscar Tshiebwe.
- Model track record: picks at 65%+ went 496-127 (79.6%) in the walk-forward back-test.
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Moneyline Monday FAQ
What are the best NBA moneyline picks for Monday, November 9, 2026?
The MC Sports model's five-team parlay is the Detroit Pistons (75%), the San Antonio Spurs (71%), the Cleveland Cavaliers (77%), the Golden State Warriors (74%) and the Houston Rockets (65%).
What does the Moneyline Monday parlay pay?
At FanDuel's prices when this was published, the five legs together are +263, so $10 pays $36.30 if all five win. Prices move before tip-off.
What is Moneyline Monday?
Every Monday in the NBA season, MC Sports HQ publishes a five-team moneyline parlay from its model: its most likely winners, skipping the heaviest favorites, with the model's numbers and the reasoning behind each team.
These are model picks, not sure things, and a parlay needs every leg. Keep each bet to a small, fixed share of your bankroll (see unit sizing).
This page is one pick. Premium is the whole night.
- 204 player props with the model's projection and hit chance
- The first basket pick for all 8 games, with the tip-off and method numbers
- Projected winners, spreads and totals for all 8 games
- Ask MC: build a parlay off the models, with the model's chance on every leg
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