NBA Predictions › Wed, Nov 11, 2026

Spurs vs Bulls Prediction, Picks & Odds

The San Antonio Spurs visit the Chicago Bulls on Wed, Nov 11, 2026. Tip-off is 8:00 PM ET. Here is what the MC Sports model makes of it: one moneyline pick, one spread pick, one player prop and a first basket pick, each with the model's own number and FanDuel's price.

Picks at a glance

Moneyline: Spurs (86%)
Spread: Bulls +15.5
Player prop: De'Aaron Fox 14+ points (-130)
First basket: Victor Wembanyama (+260)

⭐ Best bet: De'Aaron Fox 14+ points (-130)

Moneyline pick: San Antonio Spurs

Spurs MLModel win chance 86.1% at -1100 on FanDuel. Projection: SAS by 15.1.

The model makes the Spurs an 86% winner against the Bulls. In back-testing, games where the model gave the winner 85%+ won 92.7% of the time.

Out tonight: Spurs: Tobias Harris, Jayden Quaintance; Bulls: Tobe Awaka.

Spread pick: Bulls +15.5

Bulls +15.5 (-114)Model cover chance 50.1%.

FanDuel's spread is Bulls +15.5. The model projects the Spurs to win by -15.1 points.

Total: FanDuel's number is 238.5. The model projects 238.1 combined points and leans under (50.1%).

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Player prop pick: De'Aaron Fox 14+ points

De'Aaron Fox over 13.5 points at -130Projection 15.8 · model hit chance 56.2%.

The model projects De'Aaron Fox for 15.8 points on 28 expected minutes, clear of FanDuel's line of 13.5.

🔒 1 more props the model likes in this game
  • Made Threes over🔒
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First basket pick: Victor Wembanyama (+260)

Victor Wembanyama first basket +260Model chance 22.4% · most likely way: dunk.

Why: took 22 of his team's first shots in his last 71 starts; 19 first baskets; 25% of the starters' shots; takes the tip. FanDuel settles first basket on the first points of the game, free throws included.

How to use this

These are model picks, not sure things. A 60% pick loses four times in ten. Keep each bet to a small, fixed share of your bankroll (see unit sizing).

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  • 203 player props with the model's projection and hit chance
  • The first basket pick for all 10 games, with the tip-off and method numbers
  • Projected winners, spreads and totals for all 10 games
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