NBA Predictions › Fri, Nov 6, 2026

Spurs vs Kings Prediction, Picks & Odds

The San Antonio Spurs visit the Sacramento Kings on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Tip-off is 10:00 PM ET. Here is what the MC Sports model makes of it: one moneyline pick, one spread pick, one player prop and a first basket pick, each with the model's own number and FanDuel's price.

Picks at a glance

Moneyline: Spurs (84%)
Spread: Kings +17.5
Player prop: Dylan Harper 17+ points (-136)
First basket: Victor Wembanyama (+230)

⭐ Best bet: Dylan Harper 17+ points (-136)

Moneyline pick: San Antonio Spurs

Spurs MLModel win chance 84.3% at -1400 on FanDuel. Projection: SAS by 14.0.

The model makes the Spurs an 84% winner against the Kings. In back-testing, games where the model gave the winner 80%+ won 85.3% of the time.

Out tonight: Spurs: Tobias Harris, Jayden Quaintance; Kings: Keegan Murray, Maxime Raynaud, Ben Simmons.

Spread pick: Kings +17.5

Kings +17.5 (-114)Model cover chance 50.9%.

FanDuel's spread is Kings +17.5. The model projects the Spurs to win by -14.0 points.

Total: FanDuel's number is 231.5. The model projects 229.1 combined points and leans under (50.3%).

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Player prop pick: Dylan Harper 17+ points

Dylan Harper over 16.5 points at -136Projection 19.3 · model hit chance 57.4%.

The model projects Dylan Harper for 19.3 points on 33 expected minutes, clear of FanDuel's line of 16.5.

🔒 7 more props the model likes in this game
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First basket pick: Victor Wembanyama (+230)

Victor Wembanyama first basket +230Model chance 21.7% · most likely way: dunk.

Why: took 21 of his team's first shots in his last 68 starts; 18 first baskets; 25% of the starters' shots; takes the tip. FanDuel settles first basket on the first points of the game, free throws included.

How to use this

These are model picks, not sure things. A 60% pick loses four times in ten. Keep each bet to a small, fixed share of your bankroll (see unit sizing).

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  • 206 player props with the model's projection and hit chance
  • The first basket pick for all 9 games, with the tip-off and method numbers
  • Projected winners, spreads and totals for all 9 games
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