Three's Thursday: A +1119 NBA 3-Point Parlay
Every Thursday the model builds one made-threes parlay around +1000. Tonight’s is +1119 on FanDuel, one shooter from each game.
3 legs, one from each game, every one a made-threes over. The model gives all three 11.6% to hit.
| Leg | Model | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday 2+ made threes · projected 2.3 | 63% | -178 |
| Evan Mobley 2+ made threes · projected 1.8 | 50% | +162 |
| Jeremiah Fears 2+ made threes · projected 1.3 | 37% | +198 |
Why each leg
Jrue Holiday 2+ made threes (-178)
The model gives him 63.1% to hit 2+ threes and projects 2.3: 2.7 threes per 36 minutes this season (2.4 over his last 10) on 31 expected minutes.
Evan Mobley 2+ made threes (+162)
The model gives him 50.1% to hit 2+ threes and projects 1.8: 1.9 threes per 36 minutes this season (2.1 over his last 10) on 35 expected minutes.
Jeremiah Fears 2+ made threes (+198)
The model gives him 36.8% to hit 2+ threes and projects 1.3: 1.6 threes per 36 minutes this season (1.9 over his last 10) on 27 expected minutes.
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These are model picks, not sure things, and a parlay needs every leg. Keep each bet to a small, fixed share of your bankroll (see unit sizing).
This page is one pick. Premium is the whole night.
- 109 player props with the model's projection and hit chance
- The first basket pick for all 3 games, with the tip-off and method numbers
- Projected winners, spreads and totals for all 3 games
- Ask MC: build a parlay off the models, with the model's chance on every leg
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