Three's Thursday: A +1118 NBA 3-Point Parlay
Every Thursday the model builds a made-threes parlay around +1000. Tonight’s has two versions: +218 and +1118 on FanDuel, one shooter from each game.
Two NBA games tonight, so the model takes one shooter from each. Play the pair at FanDuel’s listed lines at +218, or step both up one three for +1118.
The base pair: +218
The model gives both legs 34.2% to hit.
| Leg | Model | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| De'Anthony Melton 2+ made threes · projected 2.2 | 61% | +102 |
| Miles Bridges 2+ made threes · projected 2.0 | 56% | -174 |
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The step-up: +1118
The same two shooters, one three higher each. The model gives both 11.8% to hit.
| Leg | Model | FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| De'Anthony Melton 3+ made threes · projected 2.2 | 37% | +320 |
| Miles Bridges 3+ made threes · projected 2.0 | 32% | +190 |
Why each leg
De'Anthony Melton: 2+ (+102), then 3+ (+320)
The model gives him 60.9% to hit 2+ threes and 36.9% to hit 3+, projecting 2.2: 3.0 threes per 36 minutes this season (3.2 over his last 10) on 24 expected minutes.
Miles Bridges: 2+ (-174), then 3+ (+190)
The model gives him 56.1% to hit 2+ threes and 31.9% to hit 3+, projecting 2.0: 2.3 threes per 36 minutes this season (2.3 over his last 10) on 33 expected minutes.
These are model picks, not sure things, and a parlay needs every leg. Keep each bet to a small, fixed share of your bankroll (see unit sizing).
This page is one pick. Premium is the whole night.
- 89 player props with the model's projection and hit chance
- The first basket pick for all 2 games, with the tip-off and method numbers
- Projected winners, spreads and totals for all 2 games
- Ask MC: build a parlay off the models, with the model's chance on every leg
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