NBA Predictions › Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the San Antonio Spurs on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Tip-off is 8:00 PM ET. Here is what the MC Sports model makes of it: one moneyline pick, one spread pick, one player prop and a first basket pick, each with the model's own number and FanDuel's price.

Picks at a glance

Moneyline: Spurs (68%)
Spread: Timberwolves +11.5
Player prop: Devin Vassell 13+ points (-111)
First basket: Victor Wembanyama (+290)

⭐ Best bet: Devin Vassell 13+ points (-111)

Moneyline pick: San Antonio Spurs

Spurs MLModel win chance 68.4% at -560 on FanDuel. Projection: SAS by 6.7.

The model makes the Spurs a 68% winner against the Timberwolves. In back-testing, games where the model gave the winner 65%+ won 79.6% of the time. The Timberwolves are on the second night of a back-to-back.

Out tonight: Timberwolves: Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards; Spurs: Tobias Harris, Jayden Quaintance.

Spread pick: Timberwolves +11.5

Timberwolves +11.5 (-106)Model cover chance 51.3%.

FanDuel's spread is Timberwolves +11.5. The model projects the Spurs to win by 6.7 points.

Total: FanDuel's number is 227.5. The model projects 224.3 combined points and leans under (50.4%).

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Player prop pick: Devin Vassell 13+ points

Devin Vassell over 12.5 points at -111Projection 13.7 · model hit chance 51.3%.

The model projects Devin Vassell for 13.7 points on 34 expected minutes, clear of FanDuel's line of 12.5.

🔒 3 more props the model likes in this game
  • Points over🔒
  • Points over🔒
  • Made Threes over🔒
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First basket pick: Victor Wembanyama (+290)

Victor Wembanyama first basket +290Model chance 19.5% · most likely way: dunk.

Why: took 20 of his team's first shots in his last 65 starts; 17 first baskets; 25% of the starters' shots; takes the tip. FanDuel settles first basket on the first points of the game, free throws included.

How to use this

These are model picks, not sure things. A 60% pick loses four times in ten. Keep each bet to a small, fixed share of your bankroll (see unit sizing).

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  • 197 player props with the model's projection and hit chance
  • The first basket pick for all 6 games, with the tip-off and method numbers
  • Projected winners, spreads and totals for all 6 games
  • Ask MC: build a parlay off the models, with the model's chance on every leg
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