NBA Predictions › Fri, Nov 13, 2026

Warriors vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds

The Golden State Warriors visit the San Antonio Spurs on Fri, Nov 13, 2026. Tip-off is 9:30 PM ET. Here is what the MC Sports model makes of it: one moneyline pick, one spread pick, one player prop and a first basket pick, each with the model's own number and FanDuel's price.

Picks at a glance

Moneyline: Spurs (75%)
Spread: Warriors +11.5
Player prop: Draymond Green 6+ assists (-110)
First basket: Victor Wembanyama (+280)

⭐ Best bet: Draymond Green 6+ assists (-110)

Moneyline pick: San Antonio Spurs

Spurs MLModel win chance 75.2% at -650 on FanDuel. Projection: SAS by 9.5.

The model makes the Spurs a 75% winner against the Warriors. In back-testing, games where the model gave the winner 75%+ won 85.1% of the time.

Out tonight: Warriors: Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis, Brandon Williams; Spurs: Tobias Harris, Jayden Quaintance.

Spread pick: Warriors +11.5

Warriors +11.5 (-105)Model cover chance 50.5%.

FanDuel's spread is Warriors +11.5. The model projects the Spurs to win by 9.5 points.

Total: FanDuel's number is 217.5. The model projects 229.4 combined points and leans over (51.6%).

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Player prop pick: Draymond Green 6+ assists

Draymond Green over 5.5 assists at -110Projection 7.0 · model hit chance 51.1%.

The model projects Draymond Green for 7.0 assists on 27 expected minutes, clear of FanDuel's line of 5.5.

🔒 3 more props the model likes in this game
  • Points over🔒
  • Points over🔒
  • Made Threes over🔒
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First basket pick: Victor Wembanyama (+280)

Victor Wembanyama first basket +280Model chance 22.0% · most likely way: dunk.

Why: took 22 of his team's first shots in his last 72 starts; 19 first baskets; 25% of the starters' shots; takes the tip. FanDuel settles first basket on the first points of the game, free throws included.

How to use this

These are model picks, not sure things. A 60% pick loses four times in ten. Keep each bet to a small, fixed share of your bankroll (see unit sizing).

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  • 212 player props with the model's projection and hit chance
  • The first basket pick for all 9 games, with the tip-off and method numbers
  • Projected winners, spreads and totals for all 9 games
  • Ask MC: build a parlay off the models, with the model's chance on every leg
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