College Basketball Picks Today

Every Division I men's college basketball game on today's slate gets three picks: a projected winner with a win probability, a side of FanDuel's spread, and an over or under on FanDuel's total, with the projected score behind all three.

What goes into it

• Each team's offence and defence, rated in points per 100 possessions and adjusted for who they played
• Each team's pace, which sets how many possessions the game should have
• Last season's ratings early in the year, pulled toward average because college rosters turn over
• Home court, and none on a neutral floor

How it was tested

The whole 2025-26 season was scored a day at a time, each day from games played before it, with the settings fitted only on 2023-24 and 2024-25. On the 5,114 games FanDuel priced, its pick won 70.3%; the more confident it was, the more often it was right: 60% or more went its way 75.6% of the time (3,924 games), 70% or more 81.1% (2,774) and 80% or more 88.7% (1,666).

FanDuel's favourite won 71.3% of those same games, so the model picks winners about as well as the price does, not better. Against the spread it went 49.2% and on totals 50.3%: coin flips, so treat the spread and total sheets as projections, not plays. Use the win probability against the price; the odds lesson shows the conversion.

The record

Every game is graded the next morning against the final, at FanDuel's posted price, and the season record sits on the board.

Open today's College Basketball Picks board →