NFL Anytime Touchdown Picks

The TD model ranks every skill player on the week's slate by how likely he is to score a touchdown, and opens each name onto the usage behind it.

What goes into it

• Red-zone and goal-line work: carries and targets inside the 20 and inside the 5.
• Touches per game, and how often he has scored.
• His team's implied total from the betting market: teams expected to score more give out more touchdowns.
• The opponent: what that defense gives up to his position.

Only players expected to play are ranked, and only the starting quarterback.

What's on the board

An honest note

This is a likelihood ranking. The players at the top are the ones the books also rate most likely, and their prices reflect it, so the board tells you who is most likely to score, not where the price is wrong. That is what most people building a touchdown parlay want to know.

Open today's Anytime TD Picks board →